Stop Frequency Model ¶
Overview ¶
The Stop Frequency Model determines how many intermediate stops are made during tours, capturing the trip chaining behavior that characterizes modern travel patterns. This model is essential for understanding the complexity of multi-purpose trips and the efficiency gains people achieve by combining activities into single tours.
Model Purpose ¶
Primary Function: Determine the number of intermediate stops that occur on the outbound and inbound portions of tours, representing the trip chaining and activity bundling behavior of travelers.
Key Decisions:
- Number of stops on outbound leg (home to primary destination)
- Number of stops on inbound leg (primary destination to home)
- Total tour complexity and multi-purpose character
- Activity efficiency and time budget optimization
- Mode-specific constraints on stop-making behavior
Behavioral Foundation ¶
Trip Chaining Theory ¶
Activity Bundling Behavior: Travelers combine multiple activities into single tours to achieve:
- Transportation Efficiency: Reduced total travel time and cost
- Time Budget Optimization: Maximum activity participation within time constraints
- Spatial Efficiency: Logical geographic sequencing of activities
- Mode Synergy: Leveraging mode characteristics for multiple purposes
- Household Coordination: Serving multiple family members’ needs efficiently
Stop-Making Trade-offs:
Benefits of Additional Stops:
+ Activity consolidation and efficiency
+ Reduced number of separate tours needed
+ Shared transportation costs across activities
+ Geographic clustering advantages
+ Time savings from combined travel
Costs of Additional Stops:
- Increased tour complexity and planning requirements
- Extended total travel time and vehicle use
- Parking and access challenges at multiple locations
- Coordination difficulties with other household members
- Physical and mental fatigue from extended tours
Activity Compatibility and Sequencing ¶
Compatible Activity Combinations:
- Shopping Activities: Grocery, retail, personal services naturally cluster
- Personal Business: Banking, medical, government services often combined
- Social Activities: Dining, entertainment, visiting friends can be sequenced
- Work-Related: Business meetings, client visits, professional services
Incompatible Activity Constraints:
- Time-Specific Activities: Appointments limiting flexibility for additional stops
- Cargo/Package Issues: Bulky purchases affecting subsequent activity participation
- Dress Code Requirements: Professional vs. casual activity combinations
- Duration Conflicts: Long activities leaving insufficient time for additional stops
Tour Type and Mode Variations ¶
Stop Frequency by Tour Purpose ¶
Work Tours:
Characteristics:
- Limited stop opportunities due to schedule constraints
- Outbound stops: Coffee, breakfast, work-related errands
- Inbound stops: Shopping, personal business, social activities
- Mode dependency: Auto enables more stops than transit
Typical Patterns:
- 0 stops: 65% of work tours (direct home-work-home)
- 1 stop: 25% of work tours (usually inbound shopping/personal)
- 2+ stops: 10% of work tours (multiple errands on return)
Shopping Tours:
Characteristics:
- High stop frequency due to activity complementarity
- Multiple retail locations and service combinations
- Grocery combined with other shopping and services
- Efficiency focus on geographic clustering
Typical Patterns:
- 0 stops: 35% of shopping tours (single-purpose)
- 1 stop: 40% of shopping tours (two-destination shopping)
- 2+ stops: 25% of shopping tours (multi-purpose efficiency)
Social/Recreation Tours:
Characteristics:
- Moderate stop frequency with activity enhancement
- Dining combined with entertainment or social visits
- Shopping integrated with recreation activities
- Event-based timing affecting stop flexibility
Typical Patterns:
- 0 stops: 50% of social tours (event-focused)
- 1 stop: 35% of social tours (dining + entertainment)
- 2+ stops: 15% of social tours (complex social/shopping combinations)
Mode-Specific Stop Constraints ¶
Auto Mode Tours:
Advantages for Stop-Making:
+ Flexible routing and scheduling
+ Storage capacity for packages and purchases
+ Weather protection for multiple activities
+ Direct access to destinations with parking
Limitations:
- Parking costs accumulating across multiple stops
- Traffic congestion affecting time efficiency
- Downtown parking constraints limiting accessibility
- Fuel costs increasing with additional stops
Transit Mode Tours:
Constraints on Stop-Making:
- Fixed route networks limiting routing flexibility
- Package carrying capacity and convenience
- Weather exposure during access/egress
- Transfer requirements complicating stop integration
Opportunities:
+ Access to dense activity centers
+ Reduced parking cost concerns
+ Walkable environments facilitating stop combinations
+ Service frequency enabling flexible timing
Non-Motorized Tours:
Walk Mode Limitations:
- Distance constraints severely limiting stop opportunities
- Package carrying capacity restrictions
- Weather dependency for extended tours
- Time requirements for multiple walking segments
Bike Mode Characteristics:
- Moderate distance capability enabling some stops
- Storage limitations affecting shopping activities
- Infrastructure requirements for safe multi-destination travel
- Security concerns for bike parking at multiple locations
Stop Frequency Model Structure ¶
Discrete Choice Framework ¶
Stop Frequency Alternatives:
CT-RAMP typically models stop frequency with discrete alternatives:
- 0 Stops: Direct travel between home and primary destination
- 1 Stop: Single intermediate activity on outbound or inbound
- 2 Stops: Two intermediate activities, various combinations
- 3+ Stops: Complex multi-purpose tours (capped for computational efficiency)
Separate Outbound and Inbound Models:
P(Outbound_Stops = n) = exp(U_out_n) / Σ[exp(U_out_k)] for k = 0,1,2,3+
P(Inbound_Stops = m) = exp(U_in_m) / Σ[exp(U_in_j)] for j = 0,1,2,3+
Where utilities include:
- Tour and person characteristics
- Mode-specific stop-making capabilities
- Time and distance constraints
- Activity purpose compatibility factors
Utility Specification ¶
Base Stop Frequency Utility:
U_n_stops = ASC_n_stops +
beta_time_pressure * available_tour_time +
beta_mode * mode_stop_capability +
beta_activities * potential_activity_opportunities +
beta_efficiency * activity_bundling_benefits +
beta_complexity * tour_coordination_costs +
beta_demographics * person_household_characteristics +
beta_spatial * geographic_activity_clustering
Key Variable Categories:
Tour Characteristics:
Tour_Duration_Available = Total time budget minus primary activity time
Remaining time for intermediate activities
Primary_Activity_Flexibility = Fixed appointment vs. flexible timing
Duration certainty vs. variable length
Tour_Distance = Geographic scope affecting stop opportunities
Distance between home and primary destination
Activity clustering potential along route
Person and Household Factors:
Employment_Status = Workers: Limited weekday tour time
Non-workers: More flexible time for multiple stops
Household_Responsibilities = Escort duties limiting tour complexity
Shopping responsibilities encouraging efficiency
Age_Effects = Young adults: High social stop-making
Middle-aged: Efficiency-focused multiple stops
Seniors: Reduced complexity preferences
Spatial and Transportation Factors:
Activity_Density = High density: More stop opportunities
Low density: Limited activity clustering
Mode_Capability = Auto: High stop-making capability
Transit: Moderate, route-dependent capability
Walk/Bike: Limited stop capability
Parking_Costs = High costs: Discouraging multiple auto stops
Free/cheap: Enabling flexible stop patterns
Stop Location and Sequencing ¶
Geographic Stop Patterns ¶
Route-Based Stops:
Characteristics:
- Activities located along or near direct travel route
- Minimal route deviation and time penalty
- Geographic clustering of compatible activities
- "Path accessibility" maximizing stop efficiency
Examples:
- Gas stations and coffee shops along commute routes
- Shopping centers positioned between residential and employment areas
- Service businesses in mixed-use corridors
- Transit-oriented activity clusters
Destination-Based Stops:
Characteristics:
- Activities clustered around primary destination
- Activity concentration in downtown, shopping malls, town centers
- Walking connections between activities after arrival
- Parking once and accessing multiple services
Examples:
- Downtown business districts with diverse services
- Regional shopping malls with multiple retail and dining
- Medical centers with multiple healthcare providers
- University campuses with integrated services
Origin-Based Stops:
Characteristics:
- Activities near residential location before departure
- Convenience and routine service access
- Return trip activities after main tour purpose
- Local neighborhood activity participation
Examples:
- Neighborhood shopping and services before work
- School drop-off combined with work commute
- Local errands and services on return from work
- Community center activities combined with other tours
Temporal Sequencing Constraints ¶
Operating Hours Coordination:
Business Hours Alignment:
- Personal business requiring weekday business hours
- Shopping activities with retail operating schedules
- Service appointments with professional availability
- Banking and government services with limited hours
Timing Sequence Requirements:
- Time-specific appointments constraining other activities
- Service duration uncertainty affecting subsequent stops
- Rush hour timing affecting travel time budgets
- Meal timing affecting social and dining activities
Activity Duration Variability:
- Short Activities (15-30 minutes): Gas, banking, quick shopping
- Medium Activities (30-90 minutes): Grocery shopping, personal services, dining
- Long Activities (1+ hours): Medical appointments, social visits, entertainment
- Variable Duration: Shopping activities with uncertain time requirements
Demographic and Market Segmentation ¶
Life Stage Effects on Stop Frequency ¶
Young Adults (18-34):
Stop-Making Characteristics:
- High social activity stop combinations
- Flexible schedule enabling complex tours
- Technology-assisted activity planning and coordination
- Cost-conscious activity bundling for efficiency
Typical Patterns:
- Work tours: Limited stops due to time constraints
- Social tours: High stop frequency for entertainment combinations
- Shopping tours: Efficiency focus with multiple retail stops
- Personal business: Bundled with other activities for time efficiency
Families with Children:
Stop-Making Characteristics:
- Escort responsibilities creating complex tour patterns
- Efficiency imperative due to time constraints
- Family-oriented activity combinations
- Safety and convenience prioritized in stop selection
Typical Patterns:
- School escort tours: Combined with shopping and personal business
- Family activity tours: Multiple child-focused destinations
- Efficiency shopping: Bulk purchasing and household service combinations
- Work tours: Limited stops due to family time priorities
Empty Nesters/Seniors:
Stop-Making Characteristics:
- Flexible schedules enabling leisurely complex tours
- Health and social service activity combinations
- Preference for familiar destinations and routine patterns
- Comfort and accessibility priorities in stop selection
Typical Patterns:
- Health tours: Medical appointments combined with pharmacy, shopping
- Social tours: Extended social visits with dining and activities
- Shopping tours: Leisure shopping with social and dining combinations
- Personal business: Comprehensive service and appointment coordination
Income and Employment Effects ¶
High-Income Households:
- Time Value: Preference for efficiency and time-saving stop combinations
- Service Substitution: Personal services reducing stop-making needs
- Quality Focus: Destination quality prioritized over convenience
- Technology Integration: Online services reducing physical stop needs
Low-Income Households:
- Cost Efficiency: Price comparison shopping requiring multiple stops
- Service Access: Public services and discount retailers in different locations
- Transportation Constraints: Limited vehicle access affecting stop capability
- Time Flexibility: More time available for complex bargain-hunting tours
Model Implementation and Estimation ¶
Data Requirements ¶
Travel Survey Data:
- Detailed stop patterns by tour purpose, mode, and demographics
- Activity duration and timing for multi-stop tours
- Stated preferences for activity bundling and tour complexity
- Geographic clustering of activities and spatial accessibility
Activity Location Data:
- Retail and service location density and clustering patterns
- Operating hours and service availability by location type
- Parking availability and cost structure affecting stop decisions
- Transit accessibility to activity cluster locations
Calibration and Validation Targets ¶
Stop Frequency Distribution by Tour Purpose:
Work Tours:
- 0 stops: 65%
- 1 stop: 25%
- 2+ stops: 10%
Shopping Tours:
- 0 stops: 35%
- 1 stop: 40%
- 2+ stops: 25%
Social/Recreation Tours:
- 0 stops: 50%
- 1 stop: 35%
- 2+ stops: 15%
Personal Business Tours:
- 0 stops: 45%
- 1 stop: 35%
- 2+ stops: 20%
Mode-Specific Variations:
- Auto tours: 30% higher stop frequency than transit tours
- Transit tours: Higher stop frequency in high-density areas with good connectivity
- Walk/bike tours: Limited to short-distance, single-stop patterns
Policy Applications and Planning Insights ¶
Transportation System Planning ¶
Network Design Implications:
- Activity clustering strategies encouraging efficient multi-purpose travel
- Transit route design serving major activity cluster destinations
- Parking policies affecting multi-stop tour feasibility and mode choice
- Mixed-use development facilitating trip chaining and stop efficiency
Congestion and Environmental Benefits:
- Trip chaining reducing total vehicle miles traveled through tour efficiency
- Peak spreading effects of flexible stop timing reducing congestion
- Mode shift potential for well-designed activity clusters with transit access
- Environmental benefits of reduced tour generation through efficient stop patterns
Land Use and Economic Development ¶
Activity Center Planning:
- Mixed-use development design facilitating stop combinations and trip chaining
- Retail and service clustering strategies maximizing customer convenience
- Parking provision and management supporting multi-purpose visits
- Pedestrian infrastructure enabling walking connections between activities
Economic Impact Analysis:
- Business location strategies leveraging trip chaining and stop-making behavior
- Customer convenience and accessibility improving business performance
- Transportation cost reduction benefits for households through efficient tours
- Regional economic development through activity clustering and accessibility
This Stop Frequency Model provides essential insights into trip chaining behavior, enabling transportation and land use planning that supports efficient multi-purpose travel patterns while recognizing the complex activity coordination requirements of modern households.